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非线性自回归移动平均模型 (NARMA)

非线性自回归移动平均模型 (NARMA) 通过允许条件均值通过任意非线性函数依赖于过去的观测值和过去的误差项,从而扩展了经典的线性自回归移动平均 (ARMA) 框架。它能够捕捉线性模型所忽略的复杂动态——例如状态转换、不对称周期和阈值效应——这使其在经济和金融时间序列分析中具有价值。

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来源

  1. Tong, H. (1990). Non-linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 978-0198522300
  2. Granger, C. W. J., & Terasvirta, T. (1993). Modelling Nonlinear Economic Relationships. Oxford University Press. link

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Nonlinear Autoregressive Moving Average Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/nonlinear-arma-model

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被引用于

ScholarGateNonlinear ARMA model (Nonlinear Autoregressive Moving Average Model). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/nonlinear-arma-model · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026