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Croston方法用于间歇性需求

Croston方法由J. D. Croston于1972年提出,是一种用于间歇性需求序列的时间序列预测技术,其特点是零需求期频繁出现。它不直接预测原始序列,而是将实际发生的需求量和需求发生间隔建模为两个独立的过程。

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来源

  1. Croston, J. D. (1972). Forecasting and Stock Control for Intermittent Demands. Operational Research Quarterly, 23(3), 289-303. DOI: 10.1057/jors.1972.50
  2. Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J. E. (2005). The Accuracy of Intermittent Demand Estimates. International Journal of Forecasting, 21(2), 303-314. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.10.001

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 1). Croston's Method for Intermittent Demand Forecasting. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/croston-method

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ScholarGateCroston's Method (Croston's Method for Intermittent Demand Forecasting). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/econometrics/croston-method · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026