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时变参数动态面板数据模型×状态空间模型(卡尔曼滤波器)×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份1990s–2000s1990
提出者Hsiao, Pesaran, and related panel time-series literatureHarvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
类型Dynamic panel model with time-varying coefficientsState space time series model
开创性文献Canova, F., & Ciccarelli, M. (2009). Estimating multicountry VAR models. International Economic Review, 50(3), 929-959. DOI ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
别名TVP dynamic panel model, time-varying coefficient panel model, TVP-DPD model, state-space dynamic panel modelstate space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
相关24
摘要The time-varying parameter dynamic panel data model combines lagged dependent variables with coefficients that evolve over time across panel units. It extends conventional dynamic panel models by allowing slope parameters to shift across periods, making it well-suited for studying structural change, heterogeneous adjustment dynamics, and parameter instability in macro-panels and cross-country datasets.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Time-varying parameter dynamic panel data model · State Space Model. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare