方法对比

	SPJ Framework	暴力风险评估指南 (VRAG)
领域	司法心理学	司法心理学
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	2003	1993
提出者	Stephen D. Hart, Peter R. Kropp, David R. Laws	Grant T. Harris, Marnie E. Rice, Vernon L. Quinsey
类型	Clinician-Synthesized	Clinician-rated / File-based
开创性文献	Hart, S. D., Kropp, P. R., & Laws, D. R. (Eds.). (2003). Sexual deviance: Theory, assessment, and treatment. Guilford Press.	Harris, G. T., Rice, M. E., & Quinsey, V. L. (1993). Violent recidivism of mentally disordered offenders: The development of a statistical prediction instrument. Neuropsychiatry Neuropsychology and Behavioral Neurology, 6(4), 269–279.
别名	SPJ, Structured Professional Judgment, SPJ Framework	VRAG, Harris-Rice-Quinsey VRAG
相关	4	4
摘要	The Structured Professional Judgment (SPJ) framework represents a contemporary approach to forensic risk assessment that synthesizes clinical judgment with empirical evidence of risk factors. Rather than producing a numerical score, SPJ guides clinicians through systematic evaluation of case-specific evidence to arrive at a structured, transparent categorical risk judgment. SPJ has become the preferred methodology in many forensic settings globally and underlies instruments such as the HCR-20v3 (violence risk) and sexual offender assessment protocols.	The Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) is an actuarial instrument developed by Harris, Rice, and Quinsey (1993) to estimate the probability of violent recidivism among adult male offenders released from forensic psychiatric hospitals. It represents one of the earliest empirically validated violence prediction tools and remains widely used in correctional, forensic psychiatric, and civil commitment settings. The VRAG combines static historical variables with dynamic factors to generate a probability-based risk assessment.