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结构性断点向量自回归模型×向量自回归 (VAR)×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份1980–19981980
提出者Bai & Perron (structural breaks); Sims (VAR framework)Christopher A. Sims
类型Multivariate time series model with regime changeMultivariate time-series model
开创性文献Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
别名VAR with structural breaks, break-point VAR, regime-switching VAR, SB-VARVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
相关65
摘要The Structural Break VAR model extends the standard Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework by allowing coefficient matrices and error covariance to shift at one or more unknown break dates. It is designed for multivariate time series where economic relationships change abruptly due to policy shifts, financial crises, or major structural events.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Structural Break VAR Model · Vector Autoregression. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare