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| 结构性断点Toda-Yamamoto因果检验× | 格兰杰因果检验× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 计量经济学 | 计量经济学 |
| 方法族 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 起源年份≠ | 1995 (base); structural break extensions widely adopted 2000s–2010s | 1969 |
| 提出者≠ | Toda & Yamamoto (1995); structural break extensions by Zivot & Andrews (1992) and subsequent applied literature | Clive W. J. Granger |
| 类型≠ | Causality test | Causality test (F-test on VAR) |
| 开创性文献≠ | Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250. DOI ↗ | Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. DOI ↗ |
| 别名 | SB-TY causality, structural break modified Wald test causality, Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality, causality with regime shifts | Granger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality test |
| 相关≠ | 6 | 5 |
| 摘要≠ | The structural break Toda-Yamamoto causality test extends the standard Toda-Yamamoto modified Wald (MWALD) procedure to accommodate one or more structural breaks in the time series. By identifying break dates first and then including dummy variables in the augmented VAR, the test maintains its valid asymptotic chi-squared distribution regardless of the integration or cointegration order of the variables, even in the presence of regime shifts. | The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis. |
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