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模拟辅助验证性研究×功效分析×
领域研究设计统计学
方法族Process / pipelineHypothesis test
起源年份1980s–2000s (widespread integration in behavioral and social sciences)1969 (1st ed.); 1988 (seminal 2nd ed.)
提出者No single originator; tradition formalized through Monte Carlo methods (Metropolis & Ulam, 1949) applied to confirmatory designsJacob Cohen
类型Quantitative hybrid designSample size and power planning
开创性文献Morey, R. D., Chambers, C. D., Aitken, M. R. F., Harris, C. R., Hoekstra, R., Lakens, D., Lewandowsky, S., Morey, C. C., Newman, D. P., Schonbrodt, F. D., Vanpaemel, W., Wagenmakers, E. J., & Zwaan, R. A. (2022). The Peer Reviewers' Openness Initiative: Incentivising open research practices through peer review. Royal Society Open Science, 3(1), 150547. link ↗Cohen, J. (1988). Statistical Power Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences (2nd ed.). Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. ISBN: 978-0805802832
别名simulation-based confirmatory design, Monte Carlo confirmatory research, computational confirmatory study, simulation-enhanced hypothesis testingsample size calculation, power calculation, sensitivity analysis, a priori power analysis
相关55
摘要Simulation-assisted confirmatory research integrates computational simulation — most commonly Monte Carlo methods — into a hypothesis-driven, confirmatory study design. Before or alongside empirical data collection, the researcher runs simulated data under specified model assumptions to establish expected parameter distributions, verify statistical power, and anticipate the behavior of the chosen analysis. The empirical findings are then evaluated against those simulation-derived benchmarks, strengthening the evidential value of confirmatory conclusions.Power analysis is a planning and evaluation technique that quantifies the probability of detecting a real effect of a given magnitude at a chosen significance level. It links four quantities — sample size, effect size, significance level (alpha), and statistical power (1 minus beta) — so that researchers can determine the sample size needed before data collection or evaluate the sensitivity of a completed study.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Simulation-assisted confirmatory research · Power analysis. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare