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Shift-Share Analysis×Input-Output Analysis×移位-份额工具变量(Bartik工具变量)×
领域经济学经济学因果推断
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipelineRegression model
起源年份196019362020
提出者Edgar S. Dunn (Daniel Creamer credited with early use)Wassily LeontiefBartik (1991); identification framework by Goldsmith-Pinkham, Sorkin & Swift (2020) and Borusyak, Hull & Jaravel (2022)
类型Descriptive decomposition of regional growthLinear inter-industry accounting and impact modelInstrumental-variable design
开创性文献Dunn, E. S. (1960). A statistical and analytical technique for regional analysis. Papers of the Regional Science Association, 6(1), 97–112. DOI ↗Leontief, W. W. (1936). Quantitative input and output relations in the economic system of the United States. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 18(3), 105–125. DOI ↗Goldsmith-Pinkham, P., Sorkin, I. & Swift, H. (2020). Bartik Instruments: What, When, Why, and How. American Economic Review, 110(8), 2586–2624. DOI ↗
别名Shift-Share Decomposition, SSA, Esteban-Marquillas Shift-Share, Regional Shift-ShareLeontief Model, Inter-Industry Analysis, I-O Analysis, Input-Output ModelBartik instrument, shift-share instrument, Shift-Share Araç Değişkeni (Bartik Instrument)
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摘要Shift-share analysis is a descriptive technique that decomposes the change in a regional variable — most often sectoral employment — into three additive components: the part attributable to overall national growth, the part attributable to the region's industry mix, and the part attributable to the region's own competitive performance. Formalized by Edgar Dunn in 1960, it answers whether a region grew because the national economy grew, because it specializes in fast-growing industries, or because its industries outperformed (or underperformed) their national counterparts.Input-output analysis is a quantitative framework for representing the interdependence between the industries of an economy, introduced by Wassily Leontief in 1936. It records the flows of goods and services between sectors in a transactions table, derives fixed technical coefficients describing how much each industry buys from every other industry per unit of output, and inverts the resulting linear system to trace how an exogenous change in final demand ripples through the entire production structure.The shift-share instrumental variable, widely known as the Bartik instrument, is a causal-inference strategy that builds an instrument by interacting national or sector-level shocks (the shifts) with local composition weights (the shares). Its modern identification framework was set out by Goldsmith-Pinkham, Sorkin and Swift (2020) and Borusyak, Hull and Jaravel (2022).
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ScholarGate方法对比: Shift-Share Analysis · Input-Output Analysis · Shift-Share IV. 于 2026-06-24 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare