方法对比
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| 稳健微观模拟× | 个体模拟× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 仿真 | 仿真 |
| 方法族 | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| 起源年份≠ | 1990s–2000s | 1957 |
| 提出者≠ | Briggs, A. H.; O'Brien, B. J. and others in health technology assessment literature | Guy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projects |
| 类型≠ | Simulation with systematic robustness testing | Policy simulation / computational social science |
| 开创性文献≠ | O'Brien, B. J., & Briggs, A. H. (2002). Analysis of uncertainty in health care cost-effectiveness studies: an introduction to statistical issues and methods. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 11(6), 455-468. DOI ↗ | O'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗ |
| 别名≠ | Robust Micro-Simulation, Uncertainty-Robust Microsimulation, Probabilistic Microsimulation, Sensitivity-Enhanced Microsimulation | Mikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulation |
| 相关 | 5 | 5 |
| 摘要≠ | Robust Microsimulation combines individual-level (micro) simulation with systematic uncertainty analysis — typically probabilistic sensitivity analysis — to generate outputs that are robust to parameter uncertainty, model structure assumptions, and input variability. It is widely used in health technology assessment, public policy, and social science to produce credible, decision-relevant predictions. | Microsimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation. |
| ScholarGate数据集 ↗ |
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