方法对比

	Robust Interrupted Time Series Analysis	中断时间序列（ITS）分析
领域	因果推断	因果推断
方法族	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	2010s	2002
提出者	Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini; Linden (robust extensions)	Wagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
类型	Quasi-experimental segmented regression with robust inference	Quasi-experimental segmented regression
开创性文献	Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355.	Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355.
别名	robust ITS, outlier-robust ITS, robust segmented regression, robust ITSA	ITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
相关	5	5
摘要	Robust Interrupted Time Series Analysis is a quasi-experimental method that estimates the causal effect of a policy or intervention on an aggregate outcome over time, using segmented regression fitted with outlier-resistant or heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors. It is widely used in health services research and public-health evaluation when the time series contains influential observations, non-constant variance, or mild autocorrelation.	Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.