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方法族Process / pipelineRegression model
起源年份1968 (original MBD); pragmatic adaptation formalized in 2000s–2010s2002
提出者Adapted from Baer, Wolf & Risley (1968); pragmatic variant developed within single-case methodology communityWagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
类型Single-case experimental design variantQuasi-experimental segmented regression
开创性文献Baer, D. M., Wolf, M. M., & Risley, T. R. (1968). Some current dimensions of applied behavior analysis. Journal of Applied Behavior Analysis, 1(1), 91–97. DOI ↗Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
别名PMBD, pragmatic MBD, real-world multiple baseline design, flexible multiple baseline designITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
相关35
摘要The Pragmatic Multiple Baseline Design is a single-case experimental design that staggers intervention introduction across multiple participants, settings, or behaviors in real-world conditions where strict experimental control is impractical. By relaxing some idealized constraints — such as perfectly stable baselines or rigid staggering timelines — it preserves the core logic of the multiple baseline while accommodating clinical, educational, or community realities. It is especially valued when withholding treatment for ethical reasons is untenable and when practitioners need evidence from naturalistic settings.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Pragmatic Multiple Baseline Design · Interrupted Time Series. 于 2026-06-19 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare