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政策评估断点回归设计×倾向得分匹配×
领域因果推断研究统计学
方法族Regression modelProcess / pipeline
起源年份1960; policy evaluation applications widespread from 2000s1983
提出者Thistlethwaite & Campbell (1960); popularized in policy evaluation by Lee & Lemieux (2010)Paul Rosenbaum and Donald Rubin
类型Quasi-experimental causal designMethod
开创性文献Lee, D. S., & Lemieux, T. (2010). Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics. Journal of Economic Literature, 48(2), 281-355. DOI ↗Rosenbaum, P. R., & Rubin, D. B. (1983). The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika, 70(1), 41–55. DOI ↗
别名Policy RDD, RD design in policy evaluation, regression discontinuity policy analysis, RDD policy impactPSM, propensity score weighting, covariate balance
相关53
摘要Policy Evaluation Regression Discontinuity Design (Policy RDD) exploits a known eligibility threshold in a policy rule to estimate the causal effect of that policy on outcomes. Units just below the cutoff serve as a credible comparison group for units just above it, making RDD one of the most transparent quasi-experimental strategies for assessing what a policy actually achieves.Propensity score matching (PSM) is a method for reducing confounding bias in observational studies by balancing baseline characteristics between treatment groups, simulating randomization. Developed by Rosenbaum and Rubin (1983), it estimates the probability of receiving treatment given observed covariates, then matches or weights treated and control individuals with similar treatment probabilities. Widely used in medicine, epidemiology, and policy evaluation when randomized trials are infeasible or unethical, enabling estimation of treatment effects while controlling for selection bias.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Policy Evaluation Regression Discontinuity Design · Propensity Score Matching. 于 2026-06-19 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare