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非线性GARCH模型×向量自回归 (VAR)×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份1991-19931980
提出者Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle; Nelson (1991) for EGARCHChristopher A. Sims
类型Volatility modelMultivariate time-series model
开创性文献Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
别名NL-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH, GJR-GARCH, nonlinear volatility modelVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
相关65
摘要The Nonlinear GARCH model extends the standard GARCH framework to capture asymmetric and nonlinear responses of conditional volatility to past shocks. It allows negative returns (bad news) to amplify volatility more than positive returns of equal magnitude, a phenomenon known as the leverage effect, which is empirically pervasive in financial markets.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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  1. v1
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Nonlinear GARCH model · Vector Autoregression. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare