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马尔可夫模型×离散事件仿真 (DES)×
领域仿真仿真
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份19061960s (formalized); modern computational form from 1970s onward
提出者Andrei MarkovBanks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol (textbook lineage); foundational work by Tocher & Conway (1960s)
类型Probabilistic state-transition modelStochastic process simulation
开创性文献Norris, J. R. (1997). Markov Chains. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. ISBN: 9780521633963Banks, J., Carson, J.S., Nelson, B.L. & Nicol, D.M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Pearson. ISBN: 978-0136062127
别名Markov Chain, Discrete-Time Markov Chain, DTMC, Markov ProcessDES, event-driven simulation, Ayrık Olay Simülasyonu (DES)
相关54
摘要A Markov Model represents a system as a finite set of states and specifies the probability of moving from one state to another at each time step. By capturing only the current state — not the full history — it enables tractable analysis of complex dynamic processes across health economics, engineering reliability, operations research, and social-science modeling.Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) is a computational modeling paradigm in which the state of a system changes only at a countable sequence of points in time — the events. Between events nothing changes, so the simulation clock jumps directly from one event to the next. Formalized through the foundational textbooks of Banks, Carson, Nelson and Nicol and of Law in the 1960s–2000s, DES has become the standard tool for analyzing queuing systems, healthcare patient flows, manufacturing lines, and logistics networks where entities move through resources over time.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Markov Model · Discrete-Event Simulation. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare