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局部投影×门限面板向量自回归模型×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份20051996
提出者Oscar JordaBruce Hansen and colleagues
类型Multi-horizon regressionNonlinear panel model
开创性文献Jorda, O. (2005). Estimation and inference of impulse responses by local projections. American Economic Review, 95(1), 161-182. DOI ↗Hansen, B. E. (1996). Inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 12(3), 386-414. DOI ↗
别名LP-IR, Multi-horizon regressionPanel-VAR with regime switching
相关33
摘要Local Projections (LP) is a semi-parametric method for estimating impulse responses directly via multi-horizon regressions, bypassing VAR-model specification. Introduced by Jorda (2005), it projects outcomes h periods ahead onto current shocks and lags, producing impulse-response functions without assuming a particular lag structure or VAR order. This flexibility has made it the dominant approach in applied macroeconomics for measuring policy effects and shock transmission.The Threshold Panel VAR extends the standard vector autoregression framework to accommodate regime-switching behavior where relationships change when a threshold variable crosses a critical level. Introduced by Hansen (1996) and applied to panels by Caner and Hansen (2001), it allows different dynamic relationships across regimes (e.g., expansions versus recessions) while exploiting the cross-sectional dimension of panel data. This nonlinear framework captures state-dependent policy effects and economic mechanisms.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Local Projections · Threshold Panel VAR. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare