方法对比

	Koopa：用于非平稳时间序列的 Koopman 预测器	非平稳Transformer	状态空间模型（卡尔曼滤波器）
领域	深度学习	深度学习	计量经济学
方法族	Machine learning	Machine learning	Regression model
起源年份	2023	2022	1990
提出者	Yong Liu et al.	Yong Liu et al.	Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
类型	Koopman operator-based time-series forecasting model	Transformer-based time-series forecasting model	State space time series model
开创性文献	Liu, Y., Li, C., Wang, J., & Long, M. (2023). Koopa: Learning non-stationary time series dynamics with Koopman predictors. NeurIPS.	Liu, Y., Wu, H., Wang, J., & Long, M. (2022). Non-stationary transformers: Exploring the stationarity in time series forecasting. NeurIPS.	Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press.
别名	Koopman Predictor, Koopman-based Time-Series Model, Koopa Forecaster, Koopman Tahmincisi	NS-Transformer, Non-stationary Transformer Network, Stationarization-based Transformer, Durağan-Olmayan Transformer	state space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
相关	3	3	4
摘要	Koopa is a deep learning model for time-series forecasting introduced by Yong Liu, Chang Li, Jianmin Wang, and Mingsheng Long at NeurIPS 2023. It addresses the challenge of non-stationarity by disentangling time series into stationary and non-stationary components, then modeling the non-stationary dynamics using a learned approximation of the Koopman operator — a mathematical framework that lifts nonlinear systems into a linear space for tractable long-horizon prediction.	Non-stationary Transformer is a Transformer-based time-series forecasting architecture introduced by Yong Liu, Haixu Wu, Jianmin Wang, and Mingsheng Long at NeurIPS 2022. It addresses a fundamental tension in applying Transformers to real-world time series: over-stationarization during preprocessing strips out non-stationary signals that carry predictive information, while raw non-stationary inputs cause attention to collapse. The model resolves this through series stationarization paired with a novel de-stationary attention mechanism that restores the original temporal distribution in predictions.	A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.