方法对比
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| 全球向量自回归模型× | 面板平滑转换回归× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 计量经济学 | 计量经济学 |
| 方法族 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 起源年份≠ | 2004 | 2005 |
| 提出者≠ | Pesaran, Schuermann, and Weiner | Gonzalez, Terasvirta, and van Dijk |
| 类型≠ | International system model | Smooth-regime panel model |
| 开创性文献≠ | Pesaran, M. H., Schuermann, T., & Weiner, S. M. (2004). Modeling regional interdependencies using a global error-correcting macroeconometric model. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 22(2), 129-162. DOI ↗ | Gonzalez, A., Terasvirta, T., & van Dijk, D. (2005). Panel smooth transition regression models. Research Paper, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research. link ↗ |
| 别名≠ | GVAR, Multi-country VAR | Smooth-transition panel model |
| 相关 | 3 | 3 |
| 摘要≠ | Global VAR (GVAR) is a large-scale macroeconomic modeling framework linking multiple countries (or regions) via trade and financial channels, allowing shocks in one country to propagate through the global system. Introduced by Pesaran et al. (2004), it solves the curse of dimensionality in international VAR models by estimating country-specific VARs conditional on foreign variables, then solving a system linking all countries. This approach is invaluable for analyzing global spillovers and international policy coordination. | Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) models nonlinear panel relationships where coefficients transition smoothly (rather than abruptly) between regimes as a transition variable crosses thresholds. Introduced by Gonzalez et al. (2005), it extends univariate smooth-transition autoregression (STAR) models to panels, capturing gradual shifts in economic behavior. This approach is realistic when adjustment costs cause smooth (not sudden) regime changes. |
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