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傅里叶-户田-山本格兰杰因果检验×格兰杰因果检验×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份20191969
提出者Yilanci, Ozgur (building on Toda and Yamamoto 1995; Becker, Enders, and Hurn 2004)Clive W. J. Granger
类型Granger causality testTime-series predictive causality test
开创性文献Yilanci, V., & Ozgur, O. (2019). Testing the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality test with an application to energy demand. Energy Economics, 84, 104498. link ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗
别名FTY causality, Fourier TY causality, Toda-Yamamoto causality with Fourier approximation, FTY Granger causalityGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi
相关35
摘要The Fourier Toda-Yamamoto (FTY) causality test extends the classical Toda-Yamamoto procedure by embedding Fourier trigonometric terms in the augmented VAR to capture smooth, gradual structural breaks in the deterministic component. It retains the key advantage of the Toda-Yamamoto approach — Granger causality can be tested without pre-testing for integration or cointegration order — while dramatically improving size and power when breaks occur.The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Fourier Toda-Yamamoto Causality · Granger Causality. 于 2026-06-19 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare