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傅里叶自回归条件异方差模型 (Fourier ARCH Model)×结构性断点 ARCH 模型×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份2010s1982–1990
提出者Extends Engle (1982) ARCH framework with Fourier terms following Enders & Lee (2012)Engle (1982) for ARCH; Lamoureux & Lastrapes (1990) for break-adjusted variance persistence
类型Volatility model with smooth structural changeVolatility model with regime change
开创性文献Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
别名Fourier-ARCH, F-ARCH, ARCH with Fourier terms, Fourier smooth transition ARCHARCH with structural breaks, break-adjusted ARCH, regime-switching ARCH, SB-ARCH
相关65
摘要The Fourier ARCH model extends the classical ARCH framework by incorporating trigonometric (Fourier) terms into the conditional variance equation. This allows the model to capture smooth, gradual shifts in volatility dynamics over time without assuming abrupt structural breaks, making it well-suited for long financial or macroeconomic time series subject to slowly evolving regime changes.The Structural Break ARCH model extends Engle's (1982) Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by explicitly accounting for abrupt, permanent shifts in the conditional variance process. Ignoring structural breaks in variance causes ARCH parameters to appear spuriously persistent, so incorporating break dummies or regime-specific parameters yields more accurate volatility estimates and better model fit.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Fourier ARCH Model · Structural Break ARCH Model. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare