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离散事件仿真 (DES)×蒙特卡洛模拟×
领域仿真决策
方法族Process / pipelineMCDM
起源年份1960s (formalized); modern computational form from 1970s onward1949
提出者Banks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol (textbook lineage); foundational work by Tocher & Conway (1960s)Metropolis, N., Ulam, S.
类型Stochastic process simulationRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
开创性文献Banks, J., Carson, J.S., Nelson, B.L. & Nicol, D.M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Pearson. ISBN: 978-0136062127Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
别名DES, event-driven simulation, Ayrık Olay Simülasyonu (DES)
相关40
摘要Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) is a computational modeling paradigm in which the state of a system changes only at a countable sequence of points in time — the events. Between events nothing changes, so the simulation clock jumps directly from one event to the next. Formalized through the foundational textbooks of Banks, Carson, Nelson and Nicol and of Law in the 1960s–2000s, DES has become the standard tool for analyzing queuing systems, healthcare patient flows, manufacturing lines, and logistics networks where entities move through resources over time.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Discrete-Event Simulation · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare