方法对比
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| 确定性情景分析× | 敏感性分析× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域≠ | 仿真 | 决策 |
| 方法族≠ | Process / pipeline | MCDM |
| 起源年份≠ | 1967 | 2004 |
| 提出者≠ | Kahn, H., Wiener, A. J. (RAND Corporation / Hudson Institute) | Saltelli, A., Tarantola, S., Campolongo, F., Ratto, M. |
| 类型≠ | Exploratory planning and decision-support framework | Robustness wrapper — parameter / weight perturbation sensitivity indices |
| 开创性文献≠ | Kahn, H., Wiener, A. J. (1967). The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years. Macmillan, New York. ISBN: 9780025604407 | Saltelli, A., Tarantola, S., Campolongo, F., Ratto, M. (2004). Sensitivity Analysis in Practice. Wiley, Chichester DOI ↗ |
| 别名≠ | DSA, Fixed-Input Scenario Analysis, Classical Scenario Analysis, Deterministic What-If Analysis | — |
| 相关≠ | 5 | 0 |
| 摘要≠ | Deterministic Scenario Analysis (DSA) is a structured planning method in which analysts construct a finite set of internally consistent future scenarios, each defined by fixed, precisely specified parameter values rather than probability distributions. By running a model or calculation under each scenario's fixed inputs, decision-makers can map how outcomes diverge across plausible futures and stress-test strategies without requiring full probabilistic characterization of uncertainty. | SENSITIVITY-ANALYSIS (Sensitivity Analysis — Systematic assessment of output variation w.r.t. input perturbations) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Saltelli, A., Tarantola, S., Campolongo, F., Ratto, M. in 2004. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result. |
| ScholarGate数据集 ↗ |
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