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德尔菲法×焦点小组研究×
领域质性质性
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份19631940s (sociological origin); modern applied form from the 1980s–1990s
提出者Norman Dalkey & Olaf Helmer (RAND Corporation)Robert K. Merton (sociological precursor, 1940s); popularised in applied research by Richard A. Krueger
类型Structured iterative expert-elicitation processQualitative data collection method
开创性文献Dalkey, N. & Helmer, O. (1963). An Experimental Application of the Delphi Method to the Use of Experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458-467. DOI ↗Krueger, R.A. & Casey, M.A. (2014). Focus Groups: A Practical Guide for Applied Research (5th ed.). Sage. ISBN: 978-1483365244
别名Delphi Yöntemi, Delphi technique, expert consensus methodfocus group discussion, FGD, group interview, Odak Grup Araştırması
相关56
摘要The Delphi method is a structured, iterative survey technique developed by Norman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer at the RAND Corporation in 1963 for eliciting and converging expert opinion on complex topics where empirical data are unavailable or insufficient. It collects independent judgements from a geographically dispersed expert panel over multiple anonymous rounds, feeding aggregated results back to participants after each round so they can revise their views in light of the group's collective position.Focus group research is a qualitative data-collection method in which a trained moderator guides structured discussions with homogeneous groups of six to ten participants to explore ideas, attitudes, and perceptions on a defined topic. Developed from sociological roots in the 1940s and systematised for applied research by Krueger and Casey, the method leverages group interaction as a data source — revealing not just what people think, but how they negotiate and articulate views in a social setting.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Delphi Method · Focus Group. 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare