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领域质性质性
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份1963Systematised through Krippendorff's methodology work; 4th edition 2018
提出者Norman Dalkey & Olaf Helmer (RAND Corporation)Klaus Krippendorff (systematic formulation); roots in early 20th-century communications research
类型Structured iterative expert-elicitation processQualitative / mixed-method research technique
开创性文献Dalkey, N. & Helmer, O. (1963). An Experimental Application of the Delphi Method to the Use of Experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458-467. DOI ↗Krippendorff, K. (2018). Content Analysis: An Introduction to Its Methodology (4th ed.). Sage. ISBN: 978-1506395661
别名Delphi Yöntemi, Delphi technique, expert consensus methodİçerik Analizi, systematic content coding, quantitative content analysis
相关55
摘要The Delphi method is a structured, iterative survey technique developed by Norman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer at the RAND Corporation in 1963 for eliciting and converging expert opinion on complex topics where empirical data are unavailable or insufficient. It collects independent judgements from a geographically dispersed expert panel over multiple anonymous rounds, feeding aggregated results back to participants after each round so they can revise their views in light of the group's collective position.Content analysis is a systematic research technique for reducing text, visual, or media material into coded categories so that patterns can be counted, compared, and interpreted. Formalised by Klaus Krippendorff in his widely cited methodology textbook (latest edition 2018), the method sits at the boundary of qualitative and quantitative inquiry: it imposes structured, replicable coding on inherently meaning-laden material.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Delphi Method · Content Analysis. 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare