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Conformal Prediction for Time-Series Forecasting×普通最小二乘法 (OLS) 回归×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份20212019
提出者Angelopoulos & Bates (tutorial); Xu & Xie (time-series EnbPI)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
类型Distribution-free prediction interval wrapperLinear regression
开创性文献Angelopoulos, A. N. & Bates, S. (2023). Conformal Prediction: A Gentle Introduction. Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning, 16(4), 494-591. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
别名conformal prediction, distribution-free prediction intervals, EnbPI, Konformal Tahmin (Conformal Prediction — Zaman Serisi)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
相关45
摘要Conformal prediction is a distribution-free wrapper that turns any point forecaster — ARIMA, a neural network, or a machine-learning model — into valid prediction intervals using only its residuals. The time-series form was popularised by Xu & Xie (2021) and the modern tutorial treatment by Angelopoulos & Bates (2023).Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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ScholarGate方法对比: Conformal Prediction (Time Series) · OLS Regression. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare