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分量GARCH模型×方差因果关系检验×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份19991996
提出者Engle and LeeYin-Wong Cheung and Lilian Ng
类型Decomposed variance modelConditional variance test
开创性文献Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗Cheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗
别名Volatility components modelVolatility spillover test
相关33
摘要Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.The causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Component GARCH · Causality in Variance Test. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare