方法对比

	贝叶斯生存分析	Cox比例风险回归	威布尔参数生存回归
领域	贝叶斯	生存分析	生存分析
方法族	Bayesian methods	Survival analysis	Survival analysis
起源年份	2001	1972	1951
提出者	Ibrahim, Chen & Sinha	Cox, D. R.	Waloddi Weibull
类型	Bayesian time-to-event model	Semi-parametric hazard regression model	Fully parametric survival regression model
开创性文献	Ibrahim, J.G., Chen, M.-H. & Sinha, D. (2001). Bayesian Survival Analysis. Springer.	Cox, D. R. (1972). Regression Models and Life-Tables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 34(2), 187–202.	Kalbfleisch, J. D. & Prentice, R. L. (2002). The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data (2nd ed.). Wiley.
别名	bayesian sağkalım analizi, bayesian time-to-event analysis, bayesian hazard model	cox ph model, proportional hazards model, cox ph regression, Cox Orantılı Tehlikeler Regresyonu	weibull aft model, weibull survival model, parametric survival regression, Weibull Regresyonu — Parametrik Hayatta Kalma
相关	4	3	4
摘要	Bayesian survival analysis applies Bayesian inference to time-to-event models — Cox proportional hazards, parametric (Weibull, exponential), and cure models. Formalised comprehensively by Ibrahim, Chen and Sinha (2001), the approach encodes prior knowledge about hazard rates and regression coefficients, then updates it with censored survival data to yield posterior hazard ratios and credible intervals rather than single point estimates.	Cox proportional hazards regression, introduced by D. R. Cox in 1972, is a semi-parametric model that estimates how one or more covariates affect the hazard — the instantaneous rate of experiencing an event — while leaving the baseline hazard function unspecified. It is the standard multivariable method in survival analysis and produces hazard ratios that quantify the relative risk associated with each predictor.	Weibull regression is a fully parametric survival model, formalised by Kalbfleisch and Prentice, that assumes survival times follow a Weibull distribution. A shape parameter controls whether the hazard increases, decreases, or remains constant over time, while covariates shift the scale of the distribution to express how predictors affect survival.