方法对比

	贝叶斯生存分析	Bayesian Regression	Cox比例风险回归	Kaplan-Meier生存估计量	威布尔参数生存回归
领域	贝叶斯	贝叶斯	生存分析	生存分析	生存分析
方法族	Bayesian methods	Bayesian methods	Survival analysis	Survival analysis	Survival analysis
起源年份	2001	—	1972	1958	1951
提出者	Ibrahim, Chen & Sinha	—	Cox, D. R.	Kaplan, E. L. & Meier, P.	Waloddi Weibull
类型	Bayesian time-to-event model	Bayesian linear model	Semi-parametric hazard regression model	Non-parametric survival estimator	Fully parametric survival regression model
开创性文献	Ibrahim, J.G., Chen, M.-H. & Sinha, D. (2001). Bayesian Survival Analysis. Springer.	Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955	Cox, D. R. (1972). Regression Models and Life-Tables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 34(2), 187–202.	Kaplan, E. L. & Meier, P. (1958). Nonparametric Estimation from Incomplete Observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 53(282), 457–481.	Kalbfleisch, J. D. & Prentice, R. L. (2002). The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data (2nd ed.). Wiley.
别名	bayesian sağkalım analizi, bayesian time-to-event analysis, bayesian hazard model	bayesian linear regression, probabilistic regression, bayesian regresyon	cox ph model, proportional hazards model, cox ph regression, Cox Orantılı Tehlikeler Regresyonu	product-limit estimator, km curve, kaplan-meier sağkalım analizi	weibull aft model, weibull survival model, parametric survival regression, Weibull Regresyonu — Parametrik Hayatta Kalma
相关	4	2	3	2	4
摘要	Bayesian survival analysis applies Bayesian inference to time-to-event models — Cox proportional hazards, parametric (Weibull, exponential), and cure models. Formalised comprehensively by Ibrahim, Chen and Sinha (2001), the approach encodes prior knowledge about hazard rates and regression coefficients, then updates it with censored survival data to yield posterior hazard ratios and credible intervals rather than single point estimates.	Bayesian regression is a probabilistic version of linear regression that treats the model parameters as uncertain quantities. Instead of returning a single best-fit estimate, it combines prior knowledge with the observed data to produce a full posterior probability distribution for each parameter, from which credible intervals and predictions are read off.	Cox proportional hazards regression, introduced by D. R. Cox in 1972, is a semi-parametric model that estimates how one or more covariates affect the hazard — the instantaneous rate of experiencing an event — while leaving the baseline hazard function unspecified. It is the standard multivariable method in survival analysis and produces hazard ratios that quantify the relative risk associated with each predictor.	The Kaplan-Meier estimator, introduced by Kaplan and Meier in 1958, is a non-parametric method that estimates the survival curve — the probability of remaining event-free over time — from right-censored time-to-event data. The log-rank test is the companion procedure used to compare survival curves between groups.	Weibull regression is a fully parametric survival model, formalised by Kalbfleisch and Prentice, that assumes survival times follow a Weibull distribution. A shape parameter controls whether the hazard increases, decreases, or remains constant over time, while covariates shift the scale of the distribution to express how predictors affect survival.