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领域流行病学流行病学
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份19901980s–2000s (formal methodology consolidated ~2004–2006)
提出者O'Quigley, Pepe & Fisher (Continual Reassessment Method)Donald A. Berry and David J. Spiegelhalter (applied Bayesian inference formally to RCT design)
类型Adaptive Bayesian dose-finding designRandomized experimental study with Bayesian inference
开创性文献O'Quigley, J., Pepe, M., & Fisher, L. (1990). Continual reassessment method: a practical design for phase 1 clinical trials in cancer. Biometrics, 46(1), 33–48. DOI ↗Spiegelhalter, D. J., Abrams, K. R., & Myles, J. P. (2004). Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0471499756
别名Bayesian dose-finding trial, CRM trial, continual reassessment method trial, Bayesian dose-escalation studyBayesian RCT, Bayesian adaptive trial, Bayesian clinical trial design, BRCT
相关55
摘要A Bayesian Phase I clinical trial uses prior probability models and sequential Bayes updating to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of a new agent. Unlike the traditional 3+3 rule-based escalation, the Bayesian approach revises a dose-toxicity curve continuously as each patient's outcome is observed, allowing faster convergence to the true MTD while minimising exposure of patients to unsafe or subtherapeutic doses.A Bayesian randomized clinical trial (Bayesian RCT) combines the rigour of random treatment allocation with Bayesian statistical inference, allowing researchers to incorporate prior evidence and update beliefs continuously as trial data accumulate. Unlike the classical frequentist RCT, it yields direct probability statements about treatment effects and supports pre-specified adaptive stopping rules based on posterior probabilities.
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  1. v1
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Bayesian Phase I clinical trial · Bayesian Randomized Clinical Trial. 于 2026-06-19 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare