方法对比
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| 贝叶斯动态面板数据模型× | Arellano-Bond GMM 估计量× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 计量经济学 | 计量经济学 |
| 方法族 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 起源年份≠ | 2002–2007 | 1991 |
| 提出者≠ | Hsiao, Pesaran, Tahmiscioglu; Arellano & Bonhomme | Manuel Arellano and Stephen Bond |
| 类型≠ | Bayesian panel model | GMM estimator for dynamic panel data |
| 开创性文献≠ | Hsiao, C., Pesaran, M. H., & Tahmiscioglu, A. K. (2002). Maximum likelihood estimation of fixed effects dynamic panel data models covering short time periods. Journal of Econometrics, 109(1), 107–150. DOI ↗ | Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297. DOI ↗ |
| 别名 | Bayesian DPD model, Bayesian lagged dependent variable panel model, Bayesian autoregressive panel model, B-DPD | AB-GMM, Difference GMM, first-difference GMM, Arellano-Bond estimator |
| 相关≠ | 6 | 5 |
| 摘要≠ | The Bayesian dynamic panel data model extends standard dynamic panel models — which include a lagged dependent variable to capture state dependence — by estimating all parameters within a Bayesian framework. Prior distributions are combined with the likelihood to yield a full posterior distribution over model parameters, enabling probabilistic inference and coherent uncertainty quantification even in short panels. | The Arellano-Bond GMM estimator is the standard approach for dynamic panel data models in which the lagged dependent variable appears as a regressor. By first-differencing to remove fixed effects and using deeper lags as instruments, it yields consistent estimates even when the error is serially correlated and regressors are endogenous. |
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