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贝叶斯增广迪基-富勒单位根检验×增广迪基-福勒 (ADF) 单位根检验×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份1991–19921979–1984
提出者Sims & Uhlig (1991); Koop, Osiewalski & Steel (1992)Said & Dickey (1984); building on Dickey & Fuller (1979)
类型Bayesian hypothesis testHypothesis test (unit root)
开创性文献Sims, C. A., & Uhlig, H. (1991). Understanding unit rooters: A helicopter tour. Econometrica, 59(6), 1591–1599. DOI ↗Said, S. E., & Dickey, D. A. (1984). Testing for unit roots in autoregressive-moving average models of unknown order. Biometrika, 71(3), 599–607. DOI ↗
别名Bayesian ADF test, Bayesian unit root test, Bayesian Dickey-Fuller, BADFADF test, ADF unit root test, Dickey-Fuller test (augmented), Said-Dickey test
相关65
摘要The Bayesian Augmented Dickey-Fuller (BADF) unit root test re-frames the classical ADF test within a Bayesian framework. Rather than computing a frequentist p-value, it quantifies evidence for or against a unit root by comparing posterior probabilities or Bayes factors under the null (unit root) and alternative (stationarity) hypotheses, incorporating prior beliefs about the autoregressive parameter.The Augmented Dickey-Fuller test is the standard procedure for determining whether a univariate time series contains a unit root — that is, whether the series is non-stationary. It extends the original Dickey-Fuller test by including lagged difference terms that absorb serial correlation in the residuals, making the test valid for a wide range of time-series processes encountered in economics and finance.
ScholarGate数据集
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  1. v1
  2. 2 来源
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Bayesian ADF unit root test · Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare