方法对比

	基于主体的建模（ABM）	马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛 (MCMC)
领域	仿真	仿真
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1970s–1990s (formalized as a field)	1953 (Metropolis-Hastings); 1984 (Gibbs)
提出者	Thomas Schelling and Robert Axelrod (foundational contributions, 1970s–1990s)	Metropolis et al. (1953); Gibbs sampler formalised by Geman & Geman (1984)
类型	Computational simulation method	Simulation-based Bayesian inference / numerical integration
开创性文献	Axelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press.	Gelman, A., Carlin, J.B., Stern, H.S., Dunson, D.B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D.B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). Chapman & Hall/CRC.
别名	ABM, Ajan Tabanlı Modelleme (ABM), multi-agent simulation, individual-based modeling	MCMC, Metropolis-Hastings, Gibbs sampling, Markov Zinciri Monte Carlo (MCMC — Metropolis-Hastings, Gibbs)
相关	5	5
摘要	Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a computational simulation method, formalized through the work of Thomas Schelling and Robert Axelrod in the 1970s–1990s, that simulates the behavior of complex systems by specifying and running autonomous agents — individuals, firms, cells, or any bounded entity — whose local interactions with each other and with their environment collectively produce global, system-level patterns that could not be predicted from any single agent's rules alone.	Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a family of simulation algorithms that constructs a Markov chain whose stationary distribution is the target posterior, enabling Bayesian inference and high-dimensional integral computation that would otherwise be analytically intractable. Pioneered by Metropolis and colleagues in 1953 and extended by Hastings in 1970, MCMC underpins modern Bayesian statistics. The two most widely used variants are Metropolis-Hastings, which proposes moves from a general proposal distribution, and Gibbs sampling, which draws each parameter in turn from its full conditional distribution.