方法对比

	Agent-Based Markov Model	随机马尔可夫模型
领域	仿真	仿真
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	2000s	1993
提出者	Hybrid approach synthesized from Bonabeau (ABM) and Norris/classical Markov chain literature	Markov, A. A. (probabilistic extension developed by Sonnenberg & Beck and others)
类型	Hybrid simulation — agent-based modeling with Markov state transitions	Probabilistic state-transition model with Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
开创性文献	Bonabeau, E. (2002). Agent-based modeling: Methods and techniques for simulating human systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 99(Suppl 3), 7280-7287.	Sonnenberg, F. A., & Beck, J. R. (1993). Markov models in medical decision making: A practical guide. Medical Decision Making, 13(4), 322–338.
别名	ABMM, Agent-Based Markov Chain Model, ABM-Markov hybrid, Agent Markov simulation	Probabilistic Markov Model, Stochastic Markov Chain, SMM, Monte Carlo Markov Model
相关	5	6
摘要	The Agent-Based Markov Model (ABMM) is a hybrid simulation framework that embeds Markov chain state-transition logic inside individual autonomous agents. Each agent independently samples its next state from a probability transition matrix, enabling the model to capture both micro-level heterogeneity across agents and the tractable probabilistic structure of Markov chains. The approach is widely used in health economics, epidemiology, social science, and operations research.	A Stochastic Markov Model is a simulation technique that represents a system as a set of mutually exclusive health or decision states, moves a cohort (or individual agents) through those states using probabilistically sampled transition parameters, and aggregates outcomes across thousands of Monte Carlo iterations to produce full probability distributions over costs, outcomes, or rankings rather than single point estimates.