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自适应随机对照试验×顺序分析(分组顺序设计)×
领域实验设计统计学
方法族Process / pipelineHypothesis test
起源年份1980s–2000s (formalized; earlier sequential testing roots from Wald, 1947)1977
提出者Donald Berry and others; foundational adaptive trial methods developed through 1980s–2000s biostatistics literatureP. C. O'Brien & T. R. Fleming; P. C. Pocock
类型Experimental design — adaptive variant of RCTSequential / adaptive hypothesis test
开创性文献Chow, S.-C., & Chang, M. (2008). Adaptive Design Methods in Clinical Trials. Chapman & Hall/CRC. ISBN: 978-1584887690O'Brien, P.C. & Fleming, T.R. (1979). A Multiple Testing Procedure for Clinical Trials. Biometrics, 35(3), 549–556. DOI ↗
别名Adaptive RCT, Response-adaptive RCT, Adaptive clinical trial, Platform trialsequential testing, group sequential design, interim analysis, Sıralı Analiz (Sequential Testing / Group Sequential Design)
相关65
摘要An adaptive randomized controlled trial (adaptive RCT) is an experimental design in which pre-specified rules allow modifications to the trial while it is ongoing — such as changing allocation ratios, dropping underperforming arms, or stopping early for efficacy or futility — based on accumulating interim data. These adaptations are planned before the trial starts and governed by statistical rules to preserve Type I error control and validity.Sequential analysis is a framework for conducting hypothesis tests with pre-planned interim looks at accumulating data, allowing a study to stop early for efficacy or futility while controlling the overall Type I error rate. The group sequential approach was formalised by Pocock (1977) and O'Brien and Fleming (1979), and remains the standard for confirmatory clinical trials and rigorous A/B experiments.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Adaptive Randomized Controlled Trial · Sequential Analysis. 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare