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自适应随机临床试验×贝叶斯随机对照试验×
领域流行病学流行病学
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份Late 1990s–2000s (widespread adoption post-2010)1980s–2000s (formal methodology consolidated ~2004–2006)
提出者Donald Berry and colleagues; formalized by FDA guidance in 2010 and 2019Donald A. Berry and David J. Spiegelhalter (applied Bayesian inference formally to RCT design)
类型Experimental clinical trial designRandomized experimental study with Bayesian inference
开创性文献Berry, D. A. (2006). Bayesian clinical trials. Nature Reviews Drug Discovery, 5(1), 27–36. DOI ↗Spiegelhalter, D. J., Abrams, K. R., & Myles, J. P. (2004). Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0471499756
别名adaptive RCT, adaptive trial design, response-adaptive randomization trial, adaptive clinical trialBayesian RCT, Bayesian adaptive trial, Bayesian clinical trial design, BRCT
相关65
摘要An adaptive randomized clinical trial (adaptive RCT) is a prospective experimental study that uses pre-specified rules to modify one or more trial aspects — such as sample size, allocation ratios, or treatment arms — based on accumulating data collected during the trial itself, while maintaining statistical validity and integrity of the study.A Bayesian randomized clinical trial (Bayesian RCT) combines the rigour of random treatment allocation with Bayesian statistical inference, allowing researchers to incorporate prior evidence and update beliefs continuously as trial data accumulate. Unlike the classical frequentist RCT, it yields direct probability statements about treatment effects and supports pre-specified adaptive stopping rules based on posterior probabilities.
ScholarGate数据集
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  1. v1
  2. 2 来源
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Adaptive Randomized Clinical Trial · Bayesian Randomized Clinical Trial. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare