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| Mô hình EGARCH với điểm đứt gãy cấu trúc× | Mô hình TGARCH (Threshold GARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1990–1991 | 1993-1994 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Nelson (1991) for EGARCH; Lamoureux and Lastrapes (1990) for break-augmented GARCH variants | Zakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993) |
| Loại≠ | Volatility model with structural breaks | Asymmetric volatility model |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗ | Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | SB-EGARCH, EGARCH with regime shifts, break-adjusted EGARCH, structural change EGARCH | Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH |
| Liên quan≠ | 5 | 6 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Structural Break EGARCH combines Nelson's Exponential GARCH framework with explicit allowance for one or more structural breaks in the volatility process. By letting the intercept and persistence parameters of the log-variance equation shift at detected break dates, the model avoids the spurious long-memory and inflated persistence that standard EGARCH suffers when the data contain regime changes. | The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative. |
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