So sánh phương pháp

	Mô hình Biến động Ngẫu nhiên (Heston)	Mô hình GARCH (Dự báo Biến động)
Lĩnh vực	Tài chính	Kinh tế lượng
Họ	Regression model	Regression model
Năm ra đời	1993	1986
Người khởi xướng	Steven L. Heston	Tim Bollerslev
Loại	Continuous-time stochastic volatility model	Conditional volatility model
Công trình gốc	Heston, S. L. (1993). A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options. Review of Financial Studies, 6(2), 327-343.	Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327.
Tên gọi khác	Heston model, SV model, continuous-time stochastic volatility, Stokastik Volatilite Modeli (Heston, SV)	GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Liên quan	5	5
Tóm tắt	The stochastic volatility model is a continuous-time option-pricing and risk framework in which volatility follows its own random process rather than staying constant. The Heston model, introduced by Steven Heston in 1993, gives the variance a mean-reverting square-root (CIR) dynamic and yields a closed-form option price; it is the continuous-time counterpart of GARCH.	The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.