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Động lực học Hệ thống Ngẫu nhiên×Phương trình vi phân ngẫu nhiên (SDEs)×
Lĩnh vựcMô phỏngMô phỏng
HọProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Năm ra đời1980s–2000s1944 (theory); 1992 (numerical framework)
Người khởi xướngJay W. Forrester (base SD); stochastic extensions developed through 1980s–2000s by multiple researchersKiyosi Itô (Itô calculus, 1944); Peter Kloeden & Eckhard Platen (numerical methods, 1992)
LoạiContinuous stochastic simulationContinuous-time stochastic process model
Công trình gốcSterman, J.D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0072389159Øksendal, B. (2003). Stochastic Differential Equations: An Introduction with Applications (6th ed.). Springer. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácSSD, stochastic stock-flow modelling, probabilistic system dynamics, random system dynamicsSDE, Itô equations, Stokastik Diferansiyel Denklemler (SDE)
Liên quan54
Tóm tắtStochastic System Dynamics (SSD) extends conventional system dynamics by replacing fixed parameter values and deterministic flow equations with probability distributions and random draws. Running many replications of the stock-flow model yields probabilistic trajectories — confidence bands rather than single lines — enabling rigorous uncertainty quantification and risk analysis in complex feedback systems such as epidemic models, supply chains, and energy policy scenarios.Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are differential equation models that combine a deterministic drift term — governing the average tendency of a system — with a stochastic diffusion term driven by a Wiener process (Brownian motion). Pioneered through Itô calculus by Kiyosi Itô in 1944 and given a comprehensive numerical treatment by Kloeden and Platen in 1992, SDEs are the standard modelling language for continuous-time systems subject to random noise, including financial asset prices, population dynamics, and physical processes.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Stochastic System Dynamics · Stochastic Differential Equations. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-18 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare