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Số sinh sản cơ bản (R0) và số sinh sản hiệu dụng (Rt)×Mô hình Dịch tễ học Compartmental SIR×Phương trình vi phân ngẫu nhiên (SDEs)×
Lĩnh vựcDịch tễ họcDịch tễ họcMô phỏng
HọRegression modelRegression modelProcess / pipeline
Năm ra đời199019271944 (theory); 1992 (numerical framework)
Người khởi xướngDiekmann, Heesterbeek & MetzKermack & McKendrickKiyosi Itô (Itô calculus, 1944); Peter Kloeden & Eckhard Platen (numerical methods, 1992)
LoạiThreshold parameter for epidemic spreadDeterministic compartmental ODE modelContinuous-time stochastic process model
Công trình gốcDiekmann, O., Heesterbeek, J. A. P., & Metz, J. A. J. (1990). On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 28(4), 365–382. link ↗Kermack, W. O., & McKendrick, A. G. (1927). A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics. Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 115(772), 700–721. DOI ↗Øksendal, B. (2003). Stochastic Differential Equations: An Introduction with Applications (6th ed.). Springer. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácBasic Reproduction Ratio, Effective Reproduction Number, Net Reproduction Number, Temel Üreme SayısıKermack–McKendrick Model, Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered Model, Compartmental Epidemic Model, SIR Epidemiyoloji ModeliSDE, Itô equations, Stokastik Diferansiyel Denklemler (SDE)
Liên quan234
Tóm tắtThe basic reproduction number R0 is the expected number of secondary infections produced by a single infectious individual introduced into a fully susceptible population. Formally defined and computationally grounded by Diekmann, Heesterbeek, and Metz in 1990 using the next-generation matrix approach, R0 serves as the central threshold parameter in mathematical epidemiology: if R0 > 1, an epidemic can establish itself; if R0 < 1, the outbreak dies out. The effective reproduction number Rt extends this to partially immune or partially susceptible populations over time.The SIR model is a foundational mathematical framework for describing the spread of infectious diseases through a population. Introduced by William Ogilvy Kermack and Anderson Gray McKendrick in 1927, it partitions a closed population of size N into three mutually exclusive compartments: Susceptible (S), Infectious (I), and Recovered (R). A system of ordinary differential equations governs the flow of individuals between compartments, capturing epidemic dynamics with two key parameters — the transmission rate β and the recovery rate γ.Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are differential equation models that combine a deterministic drift term — governing the average tendency of a system — with a stochastic diffusion term driven by a Wiener process (Brownian motion). Pioneered through Itô calculus by Kiyosi Itô in 1944 and given a comprehensive numerical treatment by Kloeden and Platen in 1992, SDEs are the standard modelling language for continuous-time systems subject to random noise, including financial asset prices, population dynamics, and physical processes.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Reproduction Number · SIR Model · Stochastic Differential Equations. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-19 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare