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| Biến động thực hiện và Mô hình HAR× | Mô hình bộ nhớ dài (ARFIMA, FIGARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Tài chính | Tài chính |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2009 | 1980 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Corsi (HAR model); Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold & Labys (realized volatility) | Granger & Joyeux (ARFIMA); Baillie, Bollerslev & Mikkelsen (FIGARCH) |
| Loại≠ | Time-series regression of realized variance | Fractionally integrated time series model |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Corsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174-196. DOI ↗ | Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15-29. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | realized variance, HAR model, heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility, HAR-RV | ARFIMA, FIGARCH, fractionally integrated models, fractional integration |
| Liên quan≠ | 5 | 4 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Realized volatility estimates an asset's variance directly from high-frequency intraday returns rather than from a parametric latent process. The Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model of Corsi (2009), building on the realized-volatility framework of Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), forecasts this measure by combining daily, weekly, and monthly volatility components, and is a strong alternative to GARCH for volatility prediction. | Long-memory models are fractional-integration methods that capture genuine long memory through a hyperbolically decaying autocorrelation structure. ARFIMA, introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980), models long memory in return series, while FIGARCH, introduced by Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), captures long memory in volatility series; the parameter d measures the degree of fractional integration. |
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