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| Kiểm định nghiệm đơn vị Phillips-Perron (PP)× | Mô hình ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)× | Kiểm định đồng tích hợp (Johansen / Engle-Granger)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1988 | 2015 | 1988 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Peter C. B. Phillips & Pierre Perron | Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology) | Engle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988) |
| Loại≠ | Unit-root test for stationarity | Univariate time-series model | Time-series cointegration test |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Phillips, P. C. B., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335–346. DOI ↗ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021 | Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác≠ | PP test, Phillips-Perron unit root test, Phillips-Perron birim kök testi | Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli | Johansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger) |
| Liên quan≠ | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The Phillips-Perron test, proposed by Peter Phillips and Pierre Perron in 1988, tests for a unit root in a time series, like the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, but corrects for autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity in the errors non-parametrically rather than by adding lagged differences. It runs a simple Dickey-Fuller regression and then adjusts the test statistic using a long-run variance estimate, so the practitioner need not choose a lag length for the regression itself. | ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015). | The cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988). |
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