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Mô hình TGARCH phi tuyến tính×Mô hình ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)×Mô hình EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời1993–199419821991
Người khởi xướngJean-Michel Zakoian; related work by Glosten, Jagannathan & RunkleRobert F. EngleDaniel B. Nelson
LoạiConditional heteroskedasticity modelConditional volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance model
Công trình gốcZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácNL-TGARCH, Nonlinear Threshold GARCH, Asymmetric TGARCH, GJR-GARCH variantARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
Liên quan466
Tóm tắtThe Nonlinear TGARCH (Threshold GARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude to exert different effects on future volatility. It models conditional volatility in terms of the absolute value of lagged residuals split by a sign threshold, capturing the well-documented leverage effect in financial return series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Nonlinear TGARCH model · ARCH model · EGARCH model. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-19 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare