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| Lý thuyết Giá trị Cực biên (EVT)× | Mô hình Phân phối Tổn thất× | Phương trình vi phân ngẫu nhiên (SDEs)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực≠ | Tài chính | Khoa học định phí bảo hiểm | Mô phỏng |
| Họ≠ | Regression model | Regression model | Process / pipeline |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2001 | 2012 | 1944 (theory); 1992 (numerical framework) |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Coles (textbook treatment); McNeil, Frey & Embrechts | Klugman, Panjer & Willmot | Kiyosi Itô (Itô calculus, 1944); Peter Kloeden & Eckhard Platen (numerical methods, 1992) |
| Loại≠ | Tail / extreme-event model | Parametric probability model | Continuous-time stochastic process model |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Coles, S. (2001). An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values. Springer. ISBN: 978-1852334598 | Klugman, S. A., Panjer, H. H., & Willmot, G. E. (2012). Loss Models: From Data to Decisions (4th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1-118-31532-3 | Øksendal, B. (2003). Stochastic Differential Equations: An Introduction with Applications (6th ed.). Springer. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác≠ | EVT, generalized extreme value, generalized Pareto distribution, peaks over threshold | Severity-Frequency Model, Aggregate Loss Model, Claim Size Distribution Model, Hasar Dağılımı Modeli | SDE, Itô equations, Stokastik Diferansiyel Denklemler (SDE) |
| Liên quan≠ | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Extreme Value Theory is a statistical framework for modelling the rare events that live in the tail of a probability distribution. As developed in Coles (2001) and applied to risk by McNeil, Frey & Embrechts (2005), it offers two standard routes: the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution for block maxima and the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD), used in the peaks-over-threshold approach, for exceedances above a high threshold. | A Loss Distribution Model is a parametric statistical framework used in actuarial science to characterise the probabilistic behaviour of insurance claim amounts and frequencies. Developed comprehensively by Klugman, Panjer, and Willmot in their foundational text Loss Models: From Data to Decisions (first edition 1998, fourth edition 2012), these models underpin premium rating, reserving, reinsurance pricing, and regulatory capital calculations across the insurance and risk-management industries. | Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are differential equation models that combine a deterministic drift term — governing the average tendency of a system — with a stochastic diffusion term driven by a Wiener process (Brownian motion). Pioneered through Itô calculus by Kiyosi Itô in 1944 and given a comprehensive numerical treatment by Kloeden and Platen in 1992, SDEs are the standard modelling language for continuous-time systems subject to random noise, including financial asset prices, population dynamics, and physical processes. |
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