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Kiểm định Durbin-Watson về Tự tương quan×Hồi quy tuyến tính bội×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngThống kê
HọRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời19501886
Người khởi xướngJames Durbin & Geoffrey WatsonFrancis Galton; formalized by Karl Pearson
LoạiTest for first-order residual autocorrelationParametric linear model
Công trình gốcDurbin, J., & Watson, G. S. (1950). Testing for serial correlation in least squares regression: I. Biometrika, 37(3/4), 409–428. DOI ↗Galton, F. (1886). Regression towards mediocrity in hereditary stature. Journal of the Anthropological Institute of Great Britain and Ireland, 15, 246–263. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácDW test, Durbin-Watson statistic, Durbin-Watson otokorelasyon testiMLR, OLS regression, multiple regression, linear regression with multiple predictors
Liên quan48
Tóm tắtThe Durbin-Watson test, developed by James Durbin and Geoffrey Watson in 1950–1951, detects first-order serial correlation in the residuals of a linear regression. Its statistic ranges from 0 to 4, with a value near 2 indicating no autocorrelation, values toward 0 indicating positive autocorrelation, and values toward 4 indicating negative autocorrelation. It remains one of the most reported regression diagnostics despite well-known limitations.Multiple linear regression (MLR) is a parametric regression model that expresses a continuous outcome as a weighted linear combination of two or more predictor variables plus a random error term. The unknown weights (regression coefficients) are estimated by ordinary least squares (OLS), which minimises the sum of squared residuals. The method traces to Francis Galton's 1886 work on hereditary stature and was placed on firm mathematical footing by Karl Pearson; Draper and Smith's 1966 textbook established it as the standard framework for applied regression.
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