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DCC-MIDAS×Component GARCH×GARCH-MIDAS×VAR Quantile×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời2013199920122006
Người khởi xướngEngle, Ghysels, and SohnEngle and LeeEngle and GhyselsKoenker and Xiao
LoạiTime-varying correlation modelDecomposed variance modelTime-varying variance modelDistribution impulse response
Công trình gốcEngle, R. F., Ghysels, E., & Sohn, B. (2013). Stock market volatility and macroeconomic fundamentals. Review of Economics and Statistics, 95(3), 776-797. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗Engle, R. F., & Ghysels, E. (2012). GARCH for long memory. Journal of Econometrics, 164(2), 385-391. link ↗Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácDCC mixed-frequency modelVolatility components modelMixed-frequency volatility modelQuantile-based impulse response
Liên quan3333
Tóm tắtDCC-MIDAS combines dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH with mixed-frequency data sampling (MIDAS), enabling estimation of time-varying correlations between variables when observations arrive at different frequencies. Introduced by Engle et al. (2013), it models how correlations evolve with low-frequency macroeconomic conditions using high-frequency asset price information. This is crucial for portfolio risk management and understanding macro-finance linkages.Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.GARCH-MIDAS decomposes volatility into short-term (GARCH) and long-term (MIDAS) components, allowing low-frequency macroeconomic variables to drive medium-term volatility while high-frequency returns govern daily fluctuations. Introduced by Engle and Ghysels (2012), this framework elegantly separates volatility time scales. The approach is powerful for understanding how macro conditions (growth, inflation) drive risk premia and for improved volatility forecasting.Quantile VAR estimates impulse responses of multivariate systems conditional on different quantiles of the distribution, revealing how shocks propagate heterogeneously across the conditional distribution. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and applied to risk measurement by White et al. (2015), it reveals tail behavior and contagion effects invisible to mean-based VAR analysis. This is essential for risk management and understanding how crises propagate differently than normal times.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: DCC-MIDAS · Component GARCH · GARCH-MIDAS · Quantile VAR. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-19 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare