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Nhận dạng nhân quả với Đồ thị có hướng không chu trình (do-calculus)×Chuỗi Markov Monte Carlo (MCMC)×Mô hình phương trình cấu trúc×
Lĩnh vựcSuy luận nhân quảBayesThống kê nghiên cứu
HọRegression modelBayesian methodsProcess / pipeline
Năm ra đời20091921
Người khởi xướngJudea PearlSewall Wright
LoạiCausal identification frameworkPosterior sampling algorithmMethod
Công trình gốcPearl, J. (2009). Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521895606Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955Jöreskog, K. G., & Sörbom, D. (1973). LISREL: A general computer program for estimating a linear structural equation system. Research Bulletin 73-5. University of Stockholm. link ↗
Tên gọi khácdo-calculus, backdoor adjustment, Pearl causal identification, DAG ile Nedensel Tanımlama (do-calculus)markov chain monte carlo, MCMC sampling, MCMC (Markov Zinciri Monte Carlo)SEM, path analysis, latent variable modeling, causal modeling
Liên quan533
Tóm tắtDAG causal identification is a framework, developed by Judea Pearl (2009), that encodes causal assumptions as a directed acyclic graph and uses the do-calculus rules to determine whether and how a causal effect can be identified from observational data. It systematically handles confounders, instrumental variables, and backdoor paths.Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a family of computational algorithms for sampling from complex probability distributions, most commonly the posterior distributions that arise in Bayesian inference. Rather than computing posteriors analytically — which is rarely possible for realistic models — MCMC constructs a Markov chain whose stationary distribution is the target posterior and draws dependent samples from it, enabling full probabilistic inference for virtually any model.Structural equation modeling (SEM) is a comprehensive statistical framework combining path analysis (Sewall Wright, 1921) and confirmatory factor analysis to test complex causal models linking observed and latent variables. Formalized by Jöreskog (1973) with LISREL software, SEM enables simultaneous estimation of measurement relationships (how variables measure latent constructs) and structural relationships (how constructs influence outcomes), making it powerful for theory testing in psychology, epidemiology, organizational research, and health sciences where complex mediation, moderation, and latent processes require integrated analysis.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: DAG Causal Identification · MCMC · Structural Equation Modeling. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-17 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare