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Component GARCH×Kiểm định nhân quả trong phương sai×DCC-MIDAS×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời199919962013
Người khởi xướngEngle and LeeYin-Wong Cheung and Lilian NgEngle, Ghysels, and Sohn
LoạiDecomposed variance modelConditional variance testTime-varying correlation model
Công trình gốcEngle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗Cheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., Ghysels, E., & Sohn, B. (2013). Stock market volatility and macroeconomic fundamentals. Review of Economics and Statistics, 95(3), 776-797. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácVolatility components modelVolatility spillover testDCC mixed-frequency model
Liên quan333
Tóm tắtComponent GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.The causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.DCC-MIDAS combines dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH with mixed-frequency data sampling (MIDAS), enabling estimation of time-varying correlations between variables when observations arrive at different frequencies. Introduced by Engle et al. (2013), it models how correlations evolve with low-frequency macroeconomic conditions using high-frequency asset price information. This is crucial for portfolio risk management and understanding macro-finance linkages.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Component GARCH · Causality in Variance Test · DCC-MIDAS. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-19 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare