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Локальні проекції×Global VAR×Threshold Panel VAR (Панельна векторна авторегресія з порогом)×Часові параметри з факторизаційним розширенням VAR×
ГалузьЕконометрикаЕконометрикаЕконометрикаЕконометрика
РодинаRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Рік появи2005200419962005
Автор методуOscar JordaPesaran, Schuermann, and WeinerBruce Hansen and colleaguesBernanke, Boivin, and Eliasz
ТипMulti-horizon regressionInternational system modelNonlinear panel modelTime-varying system
Основоположне джерелоJorda, O. (2005). Estimation and inference of impulse responses by local projections. American Economic Review, 95(1), 161-182. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Schuermann, T., & Weiner, S. M. (2004). Modeling regional interdependencies using a global error-correcting macroeconometric model. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 22(2), 129-162. DOI ↗Hansen, B. E. (1996). Inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 12(3), 386-414. DOI ↗Bernanke, B. S., Boivin, J., & Eliasz, P. S. (2005). Measuring monetary policy. Journal of Political Economy, 113(1), 161-208. link ↗
Інші назвиLP-IR, Multi-horizon regressionGVAR, Multi-country VARPanel-VAR with regime switchingDynamic factor model with time-varying parameters
Пов'язані3333
ПідсумокLocal Projections (LP) is a semi-parametric method for estimating impulse responses directly via multi-horizon regressions, bypassing VAR-model specification. Introduced by Jorda (2005), it projects outcomes h periods ahead onto current shocks and lags, producing impulse-response functions without assuming a particular lag structure or VAR order. This flexibility has made it the dominant approach in applied macroeconomics for measuring policy effects and shock transmission.Global VAR (GVAR) is a large-scale macroeconomic modeling framework linking multiple countries (or regions) via trade and financial channels, allowing shocks in one country to propagate through the global system. Introduced by Pesaran et al. (2004), it solves the curse of dimensionality in international VAR models by estimating country-specific VARs conditional on foreign variables, then solving a system linking all countries. This approach is invaluable for analyzing global spillovers and international policy coordination.The Threshold Panel VAR extends the standard vector autoregression framework to accommodate regime-switching behavior where relationships change when a threshold variable crosses a critical level. Introduced by Hansen (1996) and applied to panels by Caner and Hansen (2001), it allows different dynamic relationships across regimes (e.g., expansions versus recessions) while exploiting the cross-sectional dimension of panel data. This nonlinear framework captures state-dependent policy effects and economic mechanisms.TVP-FAVAR is a hybrid framework combining factor-augmented VARs with time-varying parameter estimation via Kalman filtering. Introduced by Bernanke et al. (2005) and refined by Primiceri (2005), it extracts latent economic factors (e.g., a 'common monetary policy shock') from high-dimensional data while allowing VAR coefficients to evolve stochastically over time. This framework captures both reduced-dimensionality patterns and structural instability, making it ideal for studying evolving policy regimes and shock dynamics.
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ScholarGateПорівняння методів: Local Projections · Global VAR · Threshold Panel VAR · TVP-FAVAR. Отримано 2026-06-20 з https://scholargate.app/uk/compare