เปรียบเทียบวิธี

	ความผันผวนที่รับรู้ได้และแบบจำลอง HAR	แบบจำลองหน่วยความจำยาว (ARFIMA, FIGARCH)
สาขาวิชา	การเงิน	การเงิน
ตระกูล	Regression model	Regression model
ปีกำเนิด	2009	1980
ผู้ริเริ่ม	Corsi (HAR model); Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold & Labys (realized volatility)	Granger & Joyeux (ARFIMA); Baillie, Bollerslev & Mikkelsen (FIGARCH)
ประเภท	Time-series regression of realized variance	Fractionally integrated time series model
แหล่งต้นตำรับ	Corsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174-196.	Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15-29.
ชื่อเรียกอื่น	realized variance, HAR model, heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility, HAR-RV	ARFIMA, FIGARCH, fractionally integrated models, fractional integration
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง	5	4
สรุป	Realized volatility estimates an asset's variance directly from high-frequency intraday returns rather than from a parametric latent process. The Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model of Corsi (2009), building on the realized-volatility framework of Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), forecasts this measure by combining daily, weekly, and monthly volatility components, and is a strong alternative to GARCH for volatility prediction.	Long-memory models are fractional-integration methods that capture genuine long memory through a hyperbolically decaying autocorrelation structure. ARFIMA, introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980), models long memory in return series, while FIGARCH, introduced by Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), captures long memory in volatility series; the parameter d measures the degree of fractional integration.