เปรียบเทียบวิธี

	Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)	แบบจำลองมาร์คอฟสลับระบอบ (MS-AR / MS-VAR)
สาขาวิชา	เศรษฐมิติ	เศรษฐมิติ
ตระกูล	Regression model	Regression model
ปีกำเนิด	1991	1989
ผู้ริเริ่ม	Nelson	Hamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)
ประเภท	Conditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)	Regime-switching time series model
แหล่งต้นตำรับ	Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370.	Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384.
ชื่อเรียกอื่น	exponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH	regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง	4	5
สรุป	EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.	The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.