เปรียบเทียบวิธี

	แบบจำลอง EGARCH แบบเบย์ (Bayesian EGARCH Model)	แบบจำลอง ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)
สาขาวิชา	เศรษฐมิติ	เศรษฐมิติ
ตระกูล	Regression model	Regression model
ปีกำเนิด	1991 (EGARCH); 2000s (Bayesian estimation)	1982
ผู้ริเริ่ม	Nelson (1991) for EGARCH; Bayesian inference via MCMC developed from early 2000s	Robert F. Engle
ประเภท	Volatility model with Bayesian inference	Conditional volatility model
แหล่งต้นตำรับ	Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370.	Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.
ชื่อเรียกอื่น	Bayesian EGARCH model, Bayesian Exponential GARCH, EGARCH with Bayesian estimation, B-EGARCH	ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง	6	6
สรุป	The Bayesian EGARCH model combines Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH specification — which models the log of conditional variance and captures the leverage effect — with Bayesian posterior inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). This allows full uncertainty quantification of all volatility parameters, including the asymmetry coefficient, without requiring large-sample normality of the estimates.	The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.